{"id":1949,"date":"2016-11-09T17:53:40","date_gmt":"2016-11-09T17:53:40","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.bondvigilantes.com\/francais\/?p=1949"},"modified":"2023-05-25T10:42:28","modified_gmt":"2023-05-25T10:42:28","slug":"the-election-result-impact-on-us-high-yield-markets-and-the-healthcare-sector","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/bondvigilantes.com\/francais\/2016\/11\/the-election-result-impact-on-us-high-yield-markets-and-the-healthcare-sector\/","title":{"rendered":"Cons\u00e9quences du r\u00e9sultat de l\u2019\u00e9lection pr\u00e9sidentielle sur le march\u00e9 obligataire high yield am\u00e9ricain et le secteur de la sant\u00e9"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Comme l\u2019indiquait James ce matin, la r\u00e9action des march\u00e9s europ\u00e9ens high yield \u00e0 la victoire de Donald Trump a \u00e9t\u00e9 relativement cl\u00e9mente. Comme l’on pouvait s’y attendre, celle de son homologue am\u00e9ricain a \u00e9t\u00e9 un peu plus prononc\u00e9e, bien qu’\u00e0 un degr\u00e9 moindre par rapport aux actions europ\u00e9ennes ou aux contrats \u00e0 terme sur le S&P. L’indice U.S. CDX, repr\u00e9sentatif des CDS des \u00e9metteurs obligataires \u00e0 haut rendement am\u00e9ricains \u00e9quivalent \u00e0 l’Itraxx Crossover europ\u00e9en, a d\u2019abord recul\u00e9 de pr\u00e8s de deux points (soit 1,3 %) avant de rebondir, et n\u2019affiche plus qu’un repli d’environ un demi-point (soit 0,5 %).<\/p>\n\n\n

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\"\"<\/a><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

Nous allons devoir attendre l’ouverture compl\u00e8te du march\u00e9 am\u00e9ricain pour savoir comment la situation va \u00e9voluer durant la journ\u00e9e, mais il convient de noter que les diff\u00e9rents sous-secteurs r\u00e9agiront diff\u00e9remment au r\u00e9sultat. Nous pensons surveiller particuli\u00e8rement le secteur de la sant\u00e9. La victoire de Donald Trump risque de cr\u00e9er de la volatilit\u00e9 \u00e0 la fois positive et n\u00e9gative dans ce secteur.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Maintenant que Donald Trump a \u00e9t\u00e9 \u00e9lu et que les r\u00e9publicains sont majoritaires au Congr\u00e8s, les appels vont sans doute se multiplier en vue d\u2019abroger, ou au moins d\u2019apporter des ajustements importants \u00e0 la r\u00e9forme du syst\u00e8me de sant\u00e9 (Affordable Care Act ou ACA), connu sous le nom \u00ab d\u2019Obamacare \u00bb.  Ceci pourrait exercer des pressions n\u00e9gatives sur les exploitants d\u2019h\u00f4pitaux, qui constituent une part importante de l’indice repr\u00e9sentatif du segment obligataire \u00e0 haut rendement am\u00e9ricain (pr\u00e8s de 5 % de l’indice Bank of America U.S. High Yield). En th\u00e9orie, ces exploitants pourraient \u00eatre confront\u00e9s \u00e0 une augmentation du nombre de patients non assur\u00e9s si un tel sc\u00e9nario se produisait.  En outre, les incertitudes li\u00e9es \u00e0 l’avenir de l’ACA sont susceptibles d\u2019exercer des pressions n\u00e9gatives sur les soci\u00e9t\u00e9s d\u2019assurance maladie (managed care companies) am\u00e9ricaines. Bien que la majorit\u00e9 d\u2019entre elles appartiennent \u00e0 la cat\u00e9gorie investment grade, un petit nombre d’\u00e9metteurs \u00e0 haut rendement pourrait aussi s’en trouver affect\u00e9s.<\/p>\n\n\n

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\"\"<\/a><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

<\/u>\u00c0 l’inverse, avec Donald Trump \u00e0 la Maison blanche et un Congr\u00e8s \u00e0 majorit\u00e9 r\u00e9publicain, les march\u00e9s pr\u00e9voient des pressions moindres sur les prix et les co\u00fbts des m\u00e9dicaments. Cela pourrait b\u00e9n\u00e9ficier en particulier aux fabricants de m\u00e9dicaments sp\u00e9cialis\u00e9s pr\u00e9sents sur le segment \u00e0 haut rendement.  Par ailleurs, l\u2019ensemble du Congr\u00e8s devrait apporter son soutien \u00e0 une approbation plus rapide des m\u00e9dicaments g\u00e9n\u00e9riques, f\u00fbt-ce au d\u00e9triment des grandes marques pharmaceutiques.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Donald Trump a \u00e9galement appel\u00e9 de ses v\u0153ux une n\u00e9gociation directe des prix des m\u00e9dicaments d’ordonnance concern\u00e9s par le volet D de Medicare et \u00e0 la r\u00e9importation des m\u00e9dicaments, ce qui pourrait se traduire par de l\u00e9g\u00e8res pertes pour les laboratoires pharmaceutiques. Ces mesures n’ont pas compt\u00e9 parmi les priorit\u00e9s de Donald Trump lors de sa campagne, et ne devraient gu\u00e8re gagner l\u2019adh\u00e9sion du Congr\u00e8s.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Comme l\u2019indiquait James ce matin, la r\u00e9action des march\u00e9s europ\u00e9ens high yield \u00e0 la victoire de Donald Trump a \u00e9t\u00e9 relativement cl\u00e9mente. Comme l’on pouvait s’y attendre, celle de son homologue am\u00e9ricain a \u00e9t\u00e9 un peu plus prononc\u00e9e, bien qu’\u00e0 un degr\u00e9 moindre par rapport aux actions europ\u00e9ennes ou aux contrats \u00e0 terme sur le S&P. L’indice U.S. CDX, repr\u00e9sentatif des CDS des \u00e9metteurs obligataires \u00e0 haut rendement am\u00e9ricains \u00e9quivalent \u00e0 l’Itraxx Crossover europ\u00e9en, a d\u2019abord recul\u00e9 de pr\u00e8s de deux points (soit 1,3 %) avant de…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":95,"featured_media":4723,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[181,72],"tags":[141,48],"class_list":["post-1949","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-election","category-etats-unis","tag-etats-unis","tag-haut-rendement"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nCons\u00e9quences du r\u00e9sultat de l\u2019\u00e9lection pr\u00e9sidentielle sur le march\u00e9 obligataire high yield am\u00e9ricain et le secteur de la sant\u00e9 - Francais<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Comme l\u2019indiquait James ce matin, la r\u00e9action des march\u00e9s europ\u00e9ens high yield \u00e0 la victoire de Donald Trump a \u00e9t\u00e9 relativement cl\u00e9mente. 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